Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...

One item in this morning's in box caused me to look twice - eMarketer, using numbers from Nielsen, stated that "Data on Twitter Decline Stacks Up."



Turns out it caught the eye of Jim Jansen at Penn State as well. After a quick and flurried Twit-Talk with my friend Jim, we both agreed the title's misleading.

If you continue to read down to the fourth paragraph, you start to find the article begins to refute itself:

"The decrease in visitors could mean either falling interest in Twitter or simply migration to other platforms, such as third-party applications and mobile access. "

Well..duh! Through the rest of the post, eMarketer starts to show just how much Twitter traffic has migrated to 3rd party platforms. As Jim said in a tweet "Don't even know why they are reporting it like this." Why indeed? This is just sloppy and misleading. It's one thing to attract eyeballs from the email in box (worked with me) but it's another to falsely or misleadingly report research and drop the real picture down to the bottom of the post. I've seen enough eye tracking to know that the majority of readers would never get past the first paragraph or two.

Shame on you eMarketer!

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Print | posted @ Friday, November 20, 2009 9:49 AM

Comments on this entry:

Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by Steph Woods at 11/20/2009 11:57 AM

Sounds like they were grasping at straws to come up with new content.

Perhaps they put in a bunch of hours only to conclude that nothing had really changed. Since the hours were already invested, they didn't want them to go to waste!

If that's the case they should have chalked up the hours to research instead of providing useless data, and losing a little bit of trust from customers. I wonder if anybody else noticed and feels the same way you do? Would be interesting to know.
Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by Gord Hotchkiss at 11/20/2009 2:19 PM

The thing is, eMarketer picks and chooses what they report on. They didn't do the primary research. So they purposely juggled the stats for a sensationalist headline. That's what frustrates me. I don't have access to the original Nielsen numbers, but I suspect there was a fair amount of manipulation of numbers here by eMarketer and they sacrificed accuracy for eyeballs.
Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by Steph Woods at 11/20/2009 5:06 PM

It's been a while since I've worked with eMarketer and forgot that they aggregated their research data from other sources.

Did you look to see if there was a "Sponsored by Fox News" mention at the bottom? Maybe their open percentages are on the decline and have been forced to resort to sensationalism.

"Data on eMarketer Decline Stacks Up" is a headline we won't be seeing from them any time soon!


Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by Abigail Johnson at 11/21/2009 3:24 AM

It is impossible that twitter is declining. Twitter is one of the biggest social network today.
Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by Fizber at 11/21/2009 10:11 AM

I think that so many competitors are waiting for Twitter starts to loose its users. As a result such articles attract attention and eMarketer is not an exclusion. They speculate on the topic. IMHO.
Gravatar # re: Twitter Declining? I Don't Think So...
by DNA testing at 11/23/2009 7:20 PM

I agree that it's probably not declining, but as twitter has been experiencing (close to) exponential growth, this means that it's clearly not sustainable indefinitely.
At the very least we should see a plateau in the numbers before anyone can bandy about figures claiming a decline.

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